that wont happens since normal dvds cant hold enough data for high def.. Which is what everyone wants. So far people are buying high def tvs and they can watch hi def channels but they cant watch movies that way. So they need a new disc that can hold the data and since normal dvds only hold around 9 gig at the most dvd will soon die. To tell u the truth i was kinda hoping the cd , dvd generation would die althogether.. How long does a Normal cd/dvd last if used regulary... not very damn long. The things are just to sesitive. Hell i had a dvd player not to long ago went haywire and wouldnt give me my disk back. When i finaly got it open the dvd player had burned a hole through the disk. Ive actully had a few cd players as do that as well. Lets find a new media type.